Blog / Market outlook

Market outlook

What the 2027 construction insurance outlook means for contractor COIs

Umbrella and excess keep climbing while most other lines hold steady. That's exactly the line where contractors are most likely to fall short of project requirements.

By the Forsured team2 min read

+5% to 15%: Forecast 2027 rate change for construction umbrella and excess liability

WTW published its Insurance Marketplace Realities 2027 report for construction on October 1. The headline for anyone managing contractor COIs: most lines are steady, and the expensive one keeps getting more expensive.

The outlook by line

CoverageWTW 2027 forecast
Umbrella and excess liabilityUp 5% to 15%
Auto liabilityUp 5% to 15%
General liabilityFlat to up 10%
Workers' compensationFlat to up 5%
Project-specific builders risk (non-high hazard)Down 2.5% to up 2.5%
Master builders riskDown 5% to up 5%
Contractor's professional liability (annual)Flat to up 5%
Wrap-ups (OCIP and CCIP), lead umbrella and excessUp 5% to 15%

Umbrella has been the pressure point for years

This isn't new. Back in 2021, ENR reported that umbrella and excess renewals were costing contractors 50% to 100% more, as carriers raised prices, cut limits and raised attachment points. Rates have cooled since then, but umbrella keeps rising faster than the rest of the program.

Why that shows up in your contractor COIs

Project requirements rarely bend to the market. If the contract calls for a $10 million umbrella, it calls for $10 million whether the trade contractor's renewal went up 5% or 15%.

Put that next to a bidding market where, as Construction Dive reported from ABC's Anirban Basu, jobs that once drew 2 to 4 bids are drawing 12 to 16. Thin margins and rising umbrella costs push in the same direction: carry less, and hope nobody checks.

So check umbrella first. On every contractor COI, confirm the umbrella or excess limit meets the project requirement, that it follows form over the underlying policies the contract requires, and that it won't expire before the work is done.

The upside at your own renewal

WTW notes that carriers give favorable underwriting consideration to strong management of the trades a firm hires. A record showing every contractor checked against project requirements, with each gap tracked to a fix, is the kind of evidence an underwriter can use. A folder of unread certificates isn't.

Get new posts by email.

New posts on contractor COIs and project requirements, plus the coverage gaps we're seeing on real projects. Short and plain.

No spam. Unsubscribe from any email.

Common questions

How much will construction umbrella and excess insurance rates rise in 2027?

WTW's Insurance Marketplace Realities 2027 report forecasts umbrella and excess liability rates for construction up 5% to 15%.

Which construction insurance lines are stable in 2027?

WTW expects builders risk to be roughly flat (minus 2.5% to plus 2.5% for non-high hazard project-specific builders risk), workers' compensation flat to up 5%, and contractor's professional liability flat to up 5% on annual programs.

Sources

  1. Insurance Marketplace Realities 2027: Construction, WTW, Oct 1, 2026
  2. Prices Rise Sharply as Clouds Darken Construction Insurance Market for Buyers, ENR, May 12, 2021
  3. 3 economic factors determining construction's winners and losers: ABC, Construction Dive, Oct 13, 2026

We link to the original reporting and research behind every post. Spotted something we got wrong? Write to hello@forsured.ai and we'll fix it.

See what's in your own contractor COIs.

Free COI risk check, no strings attached. Send one project's requirements and a contractor COI or two to hello@forsured.ai, and we'll walk you through every gap we find.